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It's not a matter of possibility, because it's already been confirmed that Alph is an alt costume. He isn't going to be a separate character, despite obvious differences. At least he gets his own name though, rather than being labeled Pikmin&Olimar.I'm not really certain if we would actually end up getting Alph as an alternate costume for Olimar,rather than a separate character.They are different from each other,instead of like:Modern Sonic to Classic Sonic,Megaman to X,Mario to Dr.Mario and others.Although,it could be possible,since Alph's silhouette looks very similar to Olimar's.
I doubt skins would get any difference besides appearance and voice. When Sakurai said they are different characters, he meant in the Pikmin series, not in the game(Smash) itself, similar to Bowser Jr. and his Koopaling alts.Hmm. I think Alph will have a slight variation in strength and speed compared to Olimar and perhaps a Louie skin as they are a different size and it would be unequal.